Difference between revisions of "Value at Risk"

From Open Risk Manual
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== Definition ==
 
== Definition ==
'''Value at Risk''' (VaR) is a [[Risk Measure]] that aims to capture the downside [[Economic Value | value]] risk of a Market Portfolio.   
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'''Value at Risk''' (VaR) is a [[Risk Measure]] that aims to capture the downside [[Economic Value | value]] risk of a Market [[Portfolio]] (a collection of financial instruments that can be marked-to-market).   
  
 
== Formula ==
 
== Formula ==
VaR is a quantile [[Risk Measure]] and requires the specification of  
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VaR is a quantile [[Risk Measure]] and requires the specification of:
* An aggregate Portfolio Profit and Loss variable constructed as the sum of potential individual market losses <math>L=\sum L_{i}</math>
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* An aggregate (Portfolio) PnL (Profit and Loss) random variable that is constructed as the sum of potential individual market losses <math>L=\sum L_{i}</math>
 
* A [[Confidence Level]] <math>\alpha</math>
 
* A [[Confidence Level]] <math>\alpha</math>
  
  
Given a confidence level <math>\alpha\in(0,1)</math>, the VaR of calculated portfolio loss <math>L</math> at the confidence level <math>\alpha</math> is the smallest number <math>K</math> such that the probability that the loss<math>L</math> exceeds <math>K</math> is at least <math>\alpha</math>.
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Given the confidence level <math>\alpha\in(0,1)</math>, the VaR of calculated portfolio loss <math>L</math> at the confidence level <math>\alpha</math> is the smallest number <math>K</math> such that the [[Probability]] that the loss<math>L</math> exceeds <math>K</math> is at least <math>\alpha</math>.
  
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:<math>\operatorname{VaR}_\alpha(L)=-\inf\big\{l\in\mathbb{R}:F_L(l)>\alpha\big\} = F^{-1}_Y(1-\alpha).</math>
  
 
== See also ==
 
== See also ==

Revision as of 11:32, 18 March 2024

Definition

Value at Risk (VaR) is a Risk Measure that aims to capture the downside value risk of a Market Portfolio (a collection of financial instruments that can be marked-to-market).

Formula

VaR is a quantile Risk Measure and requires the specification of:

  • An aggregate (Portfolio) PnL (Profit and Loss) random variable that is constructed as the sum of potential individual market losses L=\sum L_{i}
  • A Confidence Level \alpha


Given the confidence level \alpha\in(0,1), the VaR of calculated portfolio loss L at the confidence level \alpha is the smallest number K such that the Probability that the lossL exceeds K is at least \alpha.

\operatorname{VaR}_\alpha(L)=-\inf\big\{l\in\mathbb{R}:F_L(l)>\alpha\big\} = F^{-1}_Y(1-\alpha).

See also