Difference between revisions of "Transient Climate Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions"

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Each 1000 GtCO2 of cumulative CO2 emissions is assessed to likely cause a 0.27°C to 0.63°C increase in global surface temperature with a best estimate of 0.45°C.<ref>Climate Change 2021 The Physical Science Basis</ref>
 
Each 1000 GtCO2 of cumulative CO2 emissions is assessed to likely cause a 0.27°C to 0.63°C increase in global surface temperature with a best estimate of 0.45°C.<ref>Climate Change 2021 The Physical Science Basis</ref>
  
This relationship implies that reaching net zero anthropogenic CO2 emissions is a requirement to stabilize human-induced global temperature increase at any level, but that limiting global temperature increase to a specific level would imply limiting cumulative CO2 emissions to within a [[wikipedia:Carbon budget]].
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This relationship implies that reaching net zero anthropogenic CO2 emissions is a requirement to stabilize human-induced global temperature increase at any level, but that limiting global temperature increase to a specific level would imply limiting cumulative CO2 emissions to within a [[wikipedia:Carbon Budget]].
  
This Report reaffirms with high confidence the AR5 finding that there is a near-linear relationship between cumulative anthropogenic CO2 emissions and the global warming they cause.  
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This Report reaffirms with high confidence the [[The Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC | AR5]] finding that there is a near-linear relationship between cumulative anthropogenic CO2 emissions and the global warming they cause.  
  
  

Revision as of 15:41, 4 November 2021

Definition

Transient Climate Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions (TCRE) is a summary indicator of the impact on Earth's atmosphere of CO2 emission.

Each 1000 GtCO2 of cumulative CO2 emissions is assessed to likely cause a 0.27°C to 0.63°C increase in global surface temperature with a best estimate of 0.45°C.[1]

This relationship implies that reaching net zero anthropogenic CO2 emissions is a requirement to stabilize human-induced global temperature increase at any level, but that limiting global temperature increase to a specific level would imply limiting cumulative CO2 emissions to within a wikipedia:Carbon Budget.

This Report reaffirms with high confidence the AR5 finding that there is a near-linear relationship between cumulative anthropogenic CO2 emissions and the global warming they cause.


References

  1. Climate Change 2021 The Physical Science Basis