Difference between revisions of "Monte-Carlo Simulation"

From Open Risk Manual
 
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== Definition ==
 
== Definition ==
'''Monte-Carlo Simulation'''
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'''Monte-Carlo Simulation''' is a common method that is to study stochastic uncertainty.
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Using Monte Carlo simulation, various probability distributions for uncertain parameters and/or events can be sampled. The probability distributions of the uncertain data must first be defined, including potential dependencies.  A uniform distribution might be used when uncertainty is described by a range of values.
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After specifying the probability distribution a Monte Carlo simulation samples the values from these distributions. Additional calculations might be performed for each [[Scenario]] and/or on the full simulation results.
  
 
[[Category:Quantitative Tools]]
 
[[Category:Quantitative Tools]]

Revision as of 22:13, 4 November 2021

Definition

Monte-Carlo Simulation is a common method that is to study stochastic uncertainty.

Using Monte Carlo simulation, various probability distributions for uncertain parameters and/or events can be sampled. The probability distributions of the uncertain data must first be defined, including potential dependencies. A uniform distribution might be used when uncertainty is described by a range of values.

After specifying the probability distribution a Monte Carlo simulation samples the values from these distributions. Additional calculations might be performed for each Scenario and/or on the full simulation results.