Inflation Expectations

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Definition

Inflation Expectations are at any given point in time the explicit or implicit Expected realisations of Inflation for any set of agents participating in an economy with a given monetary system.

Measurement

  • From asset prices
  • From surveys

Issues and Challenges

  • Extracting inflation expectations from asset prices may be skewed by other market related factors and risk premia that may be hard to isolate
  • Inflation Expectations are not obviously linked with Inflation realizations.[1]


References

  1. Rudd, Jeremy B. (2021). “Why Do We Think That Inflation Expectations Mat- ter for Inflation? (And Should We?),” Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-062. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System