Dynamic Input-Output Models
From Open Risk Manual
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Definition
Dynamic Input-Output Models is a category of various possible generalization of the basic Input-Ouput Model that allow accounting for more sophisticated temporal behavior[1]
Formula
The typical equations of the dynamic input-output model:
- X = AX + C + Dt
- D = BX - BXt t+1 t
- Xt = AXt + Ct + BXt + 1 - BXt
- (I – A + B) Xt = Ct + BX
The production of period t is defined:
- X = (I – A + B)-1 (C + BX )
while the production of period t+1 is determined by:
- X =B-1[(I – A + B)X - C ]
Where:
- Y = final demand
- I = unit matrix
- A = input coefficients for intermediates
- (I-A)-1 = matrix of cumulative input coefficients (inverse)
- B = input coefficients for capital
- C = exogenous final demand (consumption)
- D = induced investment
- T = time index
This is a system of linear difference equations, since the values of the variables are related to different periods of time. Consumption is expected to grow at the annual rate (1+m)t.
Issues and Challenges
Practical problems relate to the matrix B of capital coefficients.
References
- ↑ Eurostat Manual of Supply, Use and Input-Output Tables, 2008 edition