Difference between revisions of "Dynamic Input-Output Models"
Wiki admin (talk | contribs) |
Wiki admin (talk | contribs) (→Formula) |
||
(9 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown) | |||
Line 2: | Line 2: | ||
'''Dynamic Input-Output Models''' is a category of various possible generalization of the basic [[Input-Output Model]] that allow accounting for more sophisticated temporal behavior <ref>Eurostat Manual of Supply, Use and Input-Output Tables, 2008 edition</ref>, <ref>R.E. Miller and P.D. Blair, Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions, Second Edition, Cambridge University Press, 2009</ref> | '''Dynamic Input-Output Models''' is a category of various possible generalization of the basic [[Input-Output Model]] that allow accounting for more sophisticated temporal behavior <ref>Eurostat Manual of Supply, Use and Input-Output Tables, 2008 edition</ref>, <ref>R.E. Miller and P.D. Blair, Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions, Second Edition, Cambridge University Press, 2009</ref> | ||
− | Dynamic (inter-temporal) frameworks can address phenomena such as stock accumulation (both physical and capital), technology changes and other | + | Dynamic (inter-temporal) frameworks can address phenomena such as stock accumulation (both physical and capital), technology changes and other time-dependent developments that cannot be represented in a stationary equilibrium model. |
− | Mathematically the equations of the standard IO model become finite difference equations | + | Mathematically the equations of the standard IO model become finite difference equations relating two or more timepoints. |
== Formula == | == Formula == | ||
− | + | Typical equations of a dynamic input-output model are: | |
− | * | + | * <math>X_t = A X_t + C_t + D_t</math> |
− | * | + | * <math>D_t = B (X_{t+1} - X_{t})</math> |
− | * | + | * <math>X_t = A X_t + C_t + B (X_{t+1} - X_{t})</math> |
− | * (I - A + B) | + | * <math>(I - A + B) X_t = C_t + B X_{t+1}</math> |
− | The production of period t is | + | The total production vector X of period t is related to the production in period t+1 through equation: |
:<math> | :<math> | ||
− | + | X_t = (I - A + B)^{-1} (C_t + B X_{t+1} ) | |
</math> | </math> | ||
+ | while the production of period t+1 is related to the production in period t through the inverse equation: | ||
− | |||
:<math> | :<math> | ||
− | + | X_{t+1} = B^{-1}[(I - A + B) X_t - C_t] | |
</math> | </math> | ||
+ | Where: | ||
+ | * Y is the [[Final Demand]] which splits into C + D, where in turn | ||
+ | ** C is the exogenous final demand (consumption) | ||
+ | ** D is the induced investment | ||
+ | * B are the input coefficients for capital (the amount of sector i product (in dollars) held as capital stock for production of one dollar’s worth of output by sector j). | ||
+ | * I is the unit (identity) matrix | ||
+ | * A are input coefficients for intermediate production ([[Technical Coefficient Matrix]]) | ||
+ | * <math>(I - A)^{-1}</math> is the matrix of cumulative input coefficients ([[Leontief Inverse Matrix]]) | ||
+ | * t is the time index of successive periods | ||
− | |||
− | |||
− | |||
− | |||
− | |||
− | |||
− | |||
− | |||
− | |||
+ | This is a system of linear difference equations, since the values of the variables X are related to different periods of time. NB: In this example the coefficient matrices are assumed time invariant. | ||
− | + | If B is zero (no amounts held in capital stock), the equations reduce to the standard (stationary) model. | |
== Issues and Challenges == | == Issues and Challenges == | ||
− | * Practical problems relate to the matrix B of capital coefficients. | + | * Practical problems relate to the matrix B of capital coefficients. Only a few sectors produce capital goods. Therefore it can not be expected that matrix B has an inverse. There is a large literature on the singularity problem in the dynamic input-output model and many problems remain for empirical applications. |
== Further Resources == | == Further Resources == | ||
− | * [https://www.openriskacademy.com/ | + | * [https://www.openriskacademy.com/course/view.php?id=70 Crash Course on Input-Output Model Mathematics] |
+ | * [https://www.openriskacademy.com/course/view.php?id=64 Introduction to Input-Output Models using Python] | ||
== References == | == References == |
Latest revision as of 16:39, 16 November 2023
Definition
Dynamic Input-Output Models is a category of various possible generalization of the basic Input-Output Model that allow accounting for more sophisticated temporal behavior [1], [2]
Dynamic (inter-temporal) frameworks can address phenomena such as stock accumulation (both physical and capital), technology changes and other time-dependent developments that cannot be represented in a stationary equilibrium model.
Mathematically the equations of the standard IO model become finite difference equations relating two or more timepoints.
Formula
Typical equations of a dynamic input-output model are:
The total production vector X of period t is related to the production in period t+1 through equation:
while the production of period t+1 is related to the production in period t through the inverse equation:
Where:
- Y is the Final Demand which splits into C + D, where in turn
- C is the exogenous final demand (consumption)
- D is the induced investment
- B are the input coefficients for capital (the amount of sector i product (in dollars) held as capital stock for production of one dollar’s worth of output by sector j).
- I is the unit (identity) matrix
- A are input coefficients for intermediate production (Technical Coefficient Matrix)
- is the matrix of cumulative input coefficients (Leontief Inverse Matrix)
- t is the time index of successive periods
This is a system of linear difference equations, since the values of the variables X are related to different periods of time. NB: In this example the coefficient matrices are assumed time invariant.
If B is zero (no amounts held in capital stock), the equations reduce to the standard (stationary) model.
Issues and Challenges
- Practical problems relate to the matrix B of capital coefficients. Only a few sectors produce capital goods. Therefore it can not be expected that matrix B has an inverse. There is a large literature on the singularity problem in the dynamic input-output model and many problems remain for empirical applications.