Difference between revisions of "Dynamic Input-Output Models"

From Open Risk Manual
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== Definition ==
 
== Definition ==
'''Dynamic Input-Output Models''' is a category of various possible generalization of the basic [[Input-Ouput Model]] that allow accounting for more sophisticated temporal behavior<ref>Eurostat Manual of Supply, Use and Input-Output Tables, 2008 edition</ref>
+
'''Dynamic Input-Output Models''' is a category of various possible generalization of the basic [[Input-Output Model]] that allow accounting for more sophisticated temporal behavior<ref>Eurostat Manual of Supply, Use and Input-Output Tables, 2008 edition</ref>
 
 
  
 
== Formula  ==
 
== Formula  ==
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* Xt = AXt + Ct + BXt + 1 - BXt
 
* Xt = AXt + Ct + BXt + 1 - BXt
 
* (I – A + B) Xt = Ct + BX
 
* (I – A + B) Xt = Ct + BX
 +
  
 
The production of period t is defined:
 
The production of period t is defined:
 +
* X = (I – A + B)-1 (C + BX )
  
* X = (I – A + B)-1 (C + BX )
 
  
 
while the production of period t+1 is determined by:
 
while the production of period t+1 is determined by:
 +
* X =B-1[(I – A + B)X - C ]
  
* X =B-1[(I – A + B)X - C ]
 
  
 
Where:
 
Where:
 
 
* Y = final demand
 
* Y = final demand
 
* I = unit matrix
 
* I = unit matrix
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* D = induced investment
 
* D = induced investment
 
* T = time index
 
* T = time index
 +
  
 
This is a system of linear difference equations, since the values of the variables are related to different periods of time. Consumption is expected to grow at the annual rate (1+m)t.
 
This is a system of linear difference equations, since the values of the variables are related to different periods of time. Consumption is expected to grow at the annual rate (1+m)t.
 
  
 
== Issues and Challenges ==
 
== Issues and Challenges ==

Revision as of 16:06, 28 February 2022

Definition

Dynamic Input-Output Models is a category of various possible generalization of the basic Input-Output Model that allow accounting for more sophisticated temporal behavior[1]

Formula

The typical equations of the dynamic input-output model:

  • X = AX + C + Dt
  • D = BX - BXt t+1 t
  • Xt = AXt + Ct + BXt + 1 - BXt
  • (I – A + B) Xt = Ct + BX


The production of period t is defined:

  • X = (I – A + B)-1 (C + BX )


while the production of period t+1 is determined by:

  • X =B-1[(I – A + B)X - C ]


Where:

  • Y = final demand
  • I = unit matrix
  • A = input coefficients for intermediates
  • (I-A)-1 = matrix of cumulative input coefficients (inverse)
  • B = input coefficients for capital
  • C = exogenous final demand (consumption)
  • D = induced investment
  • T = time index


This is a system of linear difference equations, since the values of the variables are related to different periods of time. Consumption is expected to grow at the annual rate (1+m)t.

Issues and Challenges

Practical problems relate to the matrix B of capital coefficients.

References

  1. Eurostat Manual of Supply, Use and Input-Output Tables, 2008 edition