Hazard Rate Based Credit Portfolio Models

From Open Risk Manual

Definition

Hazard Rate Based Credit Portfolio Models' denotes a mathematical framework and computational method used in the Monte Carlo Simulation of Credit Portfolios that captures Dependency and Correlation between credit events using concepts from survival analysis and poisson point processes

Methodology

The following documents the mathematical structure of hazard rate based models. There are two categories of models that can be constructed on the basis of similar mathematical machinery[1]

Bottom Up Models

Top Down Models

  • Portfolio Level hazard rate / default intensity
  • Dependency is implicity in the process model

Model Inputs

Model Outputs

References

  1. Giesecke, Portfolio Credit Risk, Top Down vs Bottom Up approaches, 2008