Incremental Default Rate

From Open Risk Manual

Definition

The term Incremental Default Rate is used in the context of multi-period credit risk analysis to denote the empirical (or modelled) default rate observed in a certain portfolio during a defined sub-interval.

The incremental default rate can be considered as the building block of the Cumulative Default Rate. Observing whether an entity is defaulted over a period [t_{k-1}, t_k], the incremental default rate is denoted \mbox{IDR}_{k}

Formula

The incremental default rate during period k, given an initial count of N0, and an incremental default count of NtD is given by


\mbox{IDR}_{t} = \frac{N^{D}_t}{N_0}

NB: The important difference of this formula compared to the regular Default Rate expression is that the denominator refers to initial count of the portfolio / cohort

See Also